Israel Plans Extended Military Operations in Gaza, Targets Ground Invasion of Rafah Despite International Concerns

Israel is planning to extend its comprehensive military operations in Gaza for an additional six to eight weeks, with a focus on launching a ground invasion of Rafah, the southernmost city in the enclave. Military officials believe this timeframe will allow significant damage to be inflicted on Hamas' capabilities, enabling a shift to a lower-intensity phase involving targeted airstrikes and special forces operations. Despite international criticism, there is little indication that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government will abandon the planned Rafah assault. The impending ground operation raises concerns about a potential humanitarian catastrophe, with over a million Palestinian civilians trapped in Rafah.

Defense Minister Yoav Gallant outlined plans to target Hamas fighters, command centres, and tunnels in Rafah, emphasizing efforts to minimize civilian casualties. However, world leaders, including U.S. President Joe Biden, have expressed scepticism about Israel's preparations for a secure civilian evacuation. The Gaza Strip has already faced extensive destruction, leaving over 85% of its 2.3 million inhabitants homeless.

Hamas, on the other hand, asserts its readiness for a prolonged conflict, particularly in Rafah. The group disputes the total number of fighters it has lost and insists on its ability to continue resisting Israeli forces. The situation is further complicated by the challenge of evacuating civilians from Rafah, given the lack of a clear plan and potential logistical hurdles.

International diplomatic efforts, including talks involving the U.S., Egypt, Israel, and Qatar, have not yielded a breakthrough. Hamas proposed a ceasefire, but Netanyahu rejected it, deeming it "delusional." The U.S. aims to secure a deal to release hostages as a way to pause the conflict and create room for broader negotiations. However, there are concerns that such an agreement may not materialize in the coming weeks.

The broader context includes regional dynamics, such as Egypt's opposition to the displacement of Palestinians from Gaza and Israel's reluctance to entertain a permanent ceasefire or the establishment of a Palestinian state. The complex geopolitical landscape and the deep-rooted animosities between the parties involved contribute to the uncertainty surrounding the resolution of the conflict.